(Chuck Muth) – There were some really important items in yesterday’s Muth’s Truths PLUS+, so I decided to share them with everyone on my main email list, not just the paid subscribers to MTP+.
Things in Nevada are heating up FAST. And as usual, Republicans are busy making sure they don’t blow the opportunity to blow another opportunity.
If you like what you read below, please consider subscribing to MTP+ so you don’t miss anything. There’s a link at the end…
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* The New York Times reports that “Nearly a third of all shoplifting arrests in New York City last year involved just 327 people. … Collectively, they were arrested and rearrested more than 6,000 times.”
* Caught…and released. Again, and again, and again. In other news…
* Just days after being released from prison in Maine, a man shot and killed his parents and another couple before going on a “highway shooting rampage.”
* The killer had a “lengthy rap sheet going back more than a decade,” including convictions for “burglary, felony aggravated assault, domestic violence and violence against a law enforcement officer, as well as possessing a weapon as a felon.”
* Hmm, so a law against possessing a gun was ignored by a career criminal? Go figure.
* “Most recently, he was sentenced to eight months in prison for assault in March 2022. He was then returned to prison for violating his probation.” Caught…and released. And four innocent victims are dead.
* The “Don vs. Ron” political food fight between ex-President Donald Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in the 2024 GOP primary for president is heating up – and portends extreme danger to other Republicans up and down the ballot.
* Think 1964’s battle between Goldwater and Rockefeller which cost the GOP seats in Congress for the better part of a generation.
* And things are gonna get quite dicey for Nevada’s Adam Laxalt, who lost his races for both governor in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2022 despite Trump’s endorsement.
* In March 2022, in the heat of his GOP primary fight with Sam Brown, Laxalt declared, “I have President Trump’s endorsement and he has mine for 2024.”
* However, it’s been widely reported that Laxalt is in DeSantis’ “inner circle” of advisers and is angling for an appointment to DeSantis’ cabinet – possibly attorney general or chief-of-staff – should the Florida governor ascend into the White House.
* Remember when Rick Grenell – Trump adviser and Laxalt BFF – accused Trump supporters in Nevada who backed Brown over Laxalt of being “disloyal” to the ex-president? Can’t wait to see what he says when Laxalt publicly flip-flops and officially throws in with DeSantis.
* According to FEC reports, Democrat Rep. Dina “I’m Not Happy” Titus raised only $98,000 in the first quarter of this year.
* The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), smelling blood in the water, notes that’s the lowest amount of all D’s running next year in competitive congressional districts nationwide.
* By contrast, Nevada Dem Rep. Susie Lee reported raising over $500,000 and Dem Rep. Steve Horsford reported raising over $400,000.
* On the flip side, Republican candidate Fleming Larsen – who OVER-PERFORMED in his bid for a State Assembly seat in a big D district last year – is running for Titus’ seat and reported raising $85,000. Plus, he seeded his campaign with another $500,000 of his own money.
* And contrast that with the piddling $23,000 reportedly raised by Elizabeth Halseth-Hegelien, a GOP candidate who has filed to run for the 3rd congressional district against Lee. Not exactly a colossus.
* I’m starting think Titus’ district is a more likely pick-up for the GOP in ‘24 than Lee’s.
* Gov. Joe Lombardo’s omnibus election reform bill is still alive in the Nevada Legislature, however, the Nevada Current notes that “Several other Republicans have proposed voter ID bills, but all died without a hearing.”
* Par for the course.
* Nevada Republican National Committeewoman Sigal Chattah continues her chirping at Republican Gov. Lombardo. After reports popped out yesterday announcing that Lombardo was in support of the framework of a deal to move the Oakland A’s to Las Vegas, Chattah tweeted…
“Nevada doesn’t have even ONE long term mental health facility in the whole state to serve our population. … Baseball though- much more important than mental health facilities.”
* With friends like these…
* AB359 would take the current gas tax and put future increases on automatic pilot without voter approval. If approved, the bill would likely be vetoed by Gov. Lombardo, and his veto would likely be upheld in the Senate.
* However, should Democrats pick up one additional seat in the Senate in 2024, they’d be able to override Lombardo vetoes of such tax hikes in the 2025 session. Which brings us to…
* SB131 is a pro-abortion bill that passed out of the Senate, 15-6, on Wednesday with the support of Republican Senate Minority Leader Heidi Gansert and GOP Sen. Carrie Buck.
* Both Gansert and Buck are EXTREMELY vulnerable to losing their seats next year, which would give Democrats the veto-proof majority they’re salivating over. In other words, Republicans can’t afford to lose either one.
* Nevertheless, the Nevada GOP posted a tweet yesterday attacking the pair; saying it was “horrified” by their vote and encouraging Republicans to “Let them know they voted wrong.”
* I’m conflicted on this one. On the one hand, moderates Gansert and Buck are both gold medalists at shooting themselves in the foot and spitting in the eyes of conservatives. I have no political love for them.
* On the other hand, losing either of their seats spells doom for Gov. Lombardo’s second session in 2025 – unless the GOP picks up one or more seats in the Assembly in 2024, which would enable it to sustain any gubernatorial vetoes.
* So unless the Nevada GOP has extremely strong primary challengers lined up for both Senate seats who can hold them in the general election – and is willing to endorse such challengers early and fully in the primary (not likely) – it’s slitting its own throat.
* They don’t call the GOP the “Stupid Party” for nothing.
* Robert Beadles of Reno – a man arguably hated by Jon Ralston even more than me – is on a crusade against Washoe County Manager Eric Brown.
* His latest Operation Sunlight column highlights a rather troubling incident of UN-equal justice when it came to Brown’s wife’s DUI back in 2021…
“So here comes Melody, driving her car nearly four times over the limit, crashing into something, and coming to a full stop on the side of a busy road. She is assisted by the police, who were notified of a stopped vehicle. Upon investigation, she admits and shows that she has been drinking. … Melody Brown can’t pass a single test, but she kept reminding all of us and the officers who her husband is: Eric Brown, the Washoe County Manager.”
* Compare how her case was handled vs. a similar incident just four days later involving someone not married to the county manager. Read the full report here.
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7 Worst Habits of Highly Unelectable People
- Picking the wrong race
- Picking the wrong district
- Picking the wrong issues
- Picking the wrong time
- Picking the wrong consultants
- Picking unnecessary fights with the media
- Picking door-knocking over fundraising
FAMOUS LAST WORDS
“WOKE (adj): A state of awareness only achieved by those dumb enough to find injustice in everything except their own behavior.” – author unknown
Mr. Muth is president of Citizen Outreach, publisher of Nevada News & Views, and founder of CampaignDoctor.com. You can sign up for his conservative, Nevada-focused e-newsletter at MuthsTruths.com. His views are his own.