Under what presently passes for “leadership” in the Republican Assembly caucus, it will again be impossible for the GOP to gain a Republican majority next year; however, the developing conservative uprising in Nevada – “Conservageddon!” – could well result in a new (and desperately needed) conservative majority in the Republican Assembly caucus.
And who knows…
If Senate Minority Leader Moderate Mike Roberson is dethroned in his own GOP primary next June to conservative Carl Bunce, perhaps some wayward Republicans in the upper house – particularly Sens. Mark Hutchison, Greg Brower, Pete Goicoechea and Scott Hammond (forget Joe Hardy and Ben Kieckhefer; they’re hopeless RINOs) – will rediscover their “inner Reagans” and move back to the right, as well.
Indeed, if Roberson is ousted, Senate Republicans might even tap veteran conservative State Sen. James Settelmeyer to be their new caucus leader. Rightwarrrrd, ho!!
And even at the state level, if Republican Sue Lowden wins the lieutenant governor race…
And Republican Barbara Cegavske wins the secretary of state race…
And Republican Dan Schwartz wins the race for state treasurer…
And Republican Adam Laxalt gets in, as rumored, and wins the attorney general race (PLEASE!)…
And former Republican Assemblyman Ron Knecht wins the controller race…
It’ll be a whole lot tougher for Gov. Brian “BS” Sandoval (R&R-Partners) to continue raising taxes, implementing ObamaCare, giving driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants, and growing government in general.
But it’s at the state Assembly level that Nevada tea party and liberty movement conservatives are really starting to flex their political muscles and could have a ginormous impact at the ballot box next year depending on how some primaries go.
Here’s an updated run-down…
The following conservative and conservative-leaning GOP incumbents are likely to hold onto their seats: Assemblywoman Michele Fiore and Assemblymen John Ellison, Ira Hansen, James Oscarson, Wes Duncan, Pete Livermore and John Hambrick.
It also looks like Assemblyman Jim Wheeler has successfully weathered his recent “macaca” moment and is in position to hold onto his seat, as well. But even if he comes up short, his announced primary opponent, Robin Reedy, is also a pretty solid conservative. So that makes eight.
In District 38, moderate Assemblyman Tom Grady is likely to be replaced by conservative Dr. Robin Titus. That’s nine.
Establishment moderate Assemblyman Randy “Kirner Tax” Kirner (RINO-Kirner Tax) has drawn two conservative opponents – Lisa Krasner and Robb Archie. That could be ten if the two conservatives don’t (foolishly) split the anti-Gumby/RINO vote and re-elect the Father of the Kirner Tax.
In Clark County, Assemblyman Cresent Hardy is running for Congress, and word on the street is that moderate Assemblywoman Melissa Woodbury will not run for re-election. Both are solid GOP seats that could and should go to solid conservative candidates. That would make twelve.
In District 22, the most liberal incumbent Republican assemblyman, Lynn Stewart, will face liberty movement leader Richard Bunce in the primary. That would make 13.
In District 29, it appears Amy Groves, a solid, pro-business conservative, will make a strong run in this very competitive swing district. That could make 14.
In District 31, if conservative Jill Dickman wins her GOP primary race against Bob Larkin, an establishment GOP tax-lover, she’ll have an excellent chance to unseat Democrat incumbent Assemblyman Skip Daly in this Republican-majority district.
That would make 15…a solid conservative bloc which would have the power to stop any and all efforts to increase taxes, including yet another extension of those “temporary” sunsets that Gov. Sandoval loves so much.
Remember then-Assemblyman Bob Beers’ “Lean 15” from 2003? Bring on the sequel!!
Heck, with a conservative majority like that, maybe even establishment moderate Assemblyman Paul Anderson will rediscover his own “inner Reagan.” That’d be a “sweet 16.”
But here’s the potential coup de grace.
In District 25, moderate establishment Minority Leader Pat Hickey has now drawn a serious conservative opponent in the primary. If Hickey goes down in flames to conservative Rick Fineberg, we could not only end up with a new conservative majority in the Republican Assembly caucus, we could end up with a true conservative opposition leader, as well!
No more table scraps! No more table scraps!
Of course, a lot of things will need to break the GOP’s way in November (hello, ObamaCare train wreck!) and Republicans will have to overcome their propensity for never blowing an opportunity to blow an opportunity. But the opportunities are definitely there for the taking.
Conservatives challenging moderates in Republican primaries.
Just like Ronald Reagan vs. Gerald Ford in 1976.
Bring on CONSERVAGEDDON!
So let it be written; so let it be done.